The Gridiron Geniuses
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Playoff Odds Simulator
Simulates thousands of possible season outcomes to show each team's playoff odds at every point in the season.
Odds key:≥70% likely40–70% toss-up<40% long shot6 playoff spots · 12 teams · 8 regular-season weeks
| Team | Result | Wk 1 | Wk 2 | Wk 3 | Wk 4 | Wk 5 | Wk 6 | Wk 7 | Wk 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Travis K | TBD | 63% | 74% | 89% | 99% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Joe M | TBD | 63% | 73% | 71% | 90% | 97% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Jay H | TBD | 65% | 78% | 89% | 98% | 94% | 91% | 100% | 100% |
| Adam T | TBD | 42% | 30% | 18% | 31% | 47% | 78% | 61% | 100% |
| Brock P | TBD | 62% | 51% | 68% | 58% | 80% | 76% | 95% | 100% |
| Hillary T | TBD | 68% | 82% | 95% | 99% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Matt S | TBD | 40% | 58% | 39% | 54% | 43% | 27% | 44% | 0% |
| Derek H | TBD | 36% | 20% | 34% | 18% | 6% | 8% | 0% | 0% |
| Stefan D | TBD | 38% | 21% | 11% | 5% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Justin J | TBD | 57% | 48% | 33% | 23% | 28% | 13% | 0% | 0% |
| Kyler M | TBD | 33% | 17% | 26% | 13% | 2% | 7% | 0% | 0% |
| CJ W | TBD | 34% | 48% | 27% | 13% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Simulated with 2,000 Monte Carlo runs per checkpoint week. Future scores are drawn at random (with replacement) from the season's league-wide scoring pool — schedules are re-paired randomly, not from the actual remaining schedule. Standings tiebreaker: total points for. "Upset" = made playoffs with <40% end-of-season odds. "Choked" = missed playoffs with ≥70% end-of-season odds.